Get your popcorn ready! The most significant single-day betting event of the year in American sports is here.
The Seattle Seahawks are set to face off against the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LX on Sunday. Both teams entered the season as long shots to win the Lombardi Trophy, each starting with odds of 60-1 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Five months later, they have emerged as the two teams standing just one win away from NFL glory, with the Seahawks favored to redeem themselves after their Super Bowl XLIX defeat to the Patriots.
A staggering $1.76 billion is projected to be wagered on Super Bowl LX, covering a plethora of props that span everything from the opening coin toss to the celebratory Gatorade shower. So, which bets should you consider? Matt Bowen, Liz Loza, Pamela Maldonado, Eric Moody, Ben Solak, and Seth Walder have done the legwork to refine the options down to 60 bets for Super Bowl LX. While they might not always agree on their picks, they provide the insights needed for you to decide whether to follow or fade their recommendations.
Note: Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook
and are subject to change.
Jump to:
Game-flow bets | Game result bets
Passing | Rushing | Receiving
Anytime TD | Prop parlays
Long shot parlays | H2H | Specials/novelty
Go with the flow
2:12
Madden simulates Super Bowl LX
Catch Madden’s simulation and see which team it predicts will win Super Bowl LX between the Seahawks and Patriots.
The first step to making an informed bet is to foresee how the game will be won or lost. Will it be a defensive showdown or an offensive shootout? Which players will shine and who will be sidelined? These are the bets to consider based on that narrative, and from which the remaining selections will follow.
Seahawks -4.5 (-115): I’m backing Seattle to come out on top, so the money line is also in play. The offensive balance provided by the running game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and strategically implemented deep passes for Sam Darnold is impressive. also, the Seahawks’ defense boasts excellent speed that can effectively contain the Patriots’ offensive efforts. — Bowen
Seahawks first-quarter money line/full-time money line (+135): The Patriots have consistently found it challenging to score early in Super Bowls, averaging just three points in the first quarter across their last nine appearances. Their last Super Bowl first-quarter touchdown was way back in January 1997, against the Packers. but, Seattle dominated opponents in the first quarter during playoffs, outscoring the 49ers and Rams 27-3. besides, they have outscored opponents by 79 points in the first quarter for the entire season. I expect New England to focus on the run game, establishing a pace and coming alive in the second and third quarters, with Seattle ultimately winning by three points. — Loza
Patriots +4.5 (-105): This could result in a Seahawks victory with the Patriots covering. If I believe in an underdog, it’s because I think they can achieve an outright win. New England excels in defending against third-and-long plays. This situation might be pivotal against a Seattle offense ranked 29th in converting those scenarios. The Seahawks’ scoring efficiency declines significantly when sacked, and the Patriots are among the top five in pressure rate. If New England can create negative plays, +4.5 becomes crucial. — Maldonado
Seahawks money line (-238): Sunday is likely to hinge on Seattle’s defense overwhelming Drake Maye and pushing New England into early negative plays. Seattle’s ability to generate pressure with four rushers consistently challenges their offensive line, which has faced difficulties in the postseason, thereby limiting the Patriots’ big-play potential. Meanwhile, Darnold merely needs to be efficient enough to capitalize on favorable field positions and timely play-action opportunities. As both teams hinge on defense and ball control, this should be a physical, low-scoring game that favors the depth of Seattle. — Moody
UNDER 22.5 first-half points (-112): I anticipate that the Patriots will start cautiously while the Seahawks will proceed with caution. A Seahawks defeat would likely stem from Darnold turnovers; the Patriots would prefer a low-scoring, fast-paced game that remains within one score, hoping a singular explosive play from Maye will secure victory. As such, I predict the first half will see a battle of field possession leading to field goal attempts. — Solak
Seahawks alternate line -12.5 (+218) OR Patriots alternate line -7.5 (+487): One angle often overlooked in Super Bowls is the possibility of a blowout. though I am inclined towards the Seahawks, I could consider playing an alternate line like Seahawks -12.5. Conversely, if I were to bet on the Patriots, I would play Patriots -7.5. While I lean towards the Seahawks overall, given the odds, the Patriots’ alternate line might present better value. — Walder
Game result bets
Having placed our first bet, the Super Bowl beckons for more. Let’s dive into another wager on the final outcome of the contest.
0:48
Who does Gronk like in Super Bowl LX?
Rob Gronkowski shares his prediction for the Super Bowl matchup between the Seahawks and Patriots.
Seahawks team total OVER 25.5 (-110): Including playoffs, Seattle is averaging 29.2 points per game. On Sunday, I expect offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak to balance the run and pass game, leading to efficient throws for Darnold. also, do not be surprised if Kubiak isolates Smith-Njigba against the Patriots’ safeties in split-field coverage. — Bowen
Patriots +4.5 (-105): Adhering to the principle that “defense wins championships,” I’m picking Seattle for the outright win. but, I believe the Patriots can cover. Interestingly, underdogs are 5-0 ATS and 4-1 outright (with three consecutive victories) in the last five Super Bowls. With both Christian Gonzalez and Milton Williams on the field together, New England’s defense appears bolstered, and Maye’s mobility could help keep this contest close. — Loza
Total points OVER 45.5 (-115): Both defenses are capable of causing turnovers, leading to potential short-field scoring opportunities. Seattle leads the league in special teams touchdowns and ranks second in return yardage, adding to their non-offensive scoring potential. by contrast, New England’s offense can generate yardage, as they ranked highest in the league for explosive gains. Even with a slight playoff regression, sustaining drives along with field goals, short-field opportunities, and special teams help push this total over. — Maldonado
Seahawks -4.5 (-115): The Seahawks roll into Super Bowl LX on a nine-game winning streak, primarily fueled by one of the league’s most dominant defenses. Seattle conceded only 17.2 points per game this season (16.5 PPG in the playoffs) and has held adversaries to 16 points or less on nine occasions. Their defensive front is more than capable of consistently pressuring Maye. If Darnold minimizes turnovers, Seattle’s defensive advantage and steady offense should secure both the win and cover. — Moody
Total points UNDER 45.5 (-105): The Seahawks possess the strongest defensive unit in this matchup, and if they perform to their maximum potential, they could restrict the Patriots to a total that allows this bet to come through easily in a one-sided scenario. While I don’t expect a high-scoring affair, I anticipate a measured game that remains low-scoring overall. I prefer the first-half under to the full-game under, as the Seahawks tend to have late-game offensive spurts (notably when their defense begins to secure turnovers), but I’m still anticipating an overall low-scoring affair. — Solak
Seahawks -4.5 (-115): My confidence in this isn’t as strong as with the props, but if I have to select a side, it’s the Seahawks. Fundamentally, this bet reflects the belief that Seattle is operating at a different level than New England. ESPN’s Football Power Index ranks the Seahawks as the premier team in the NFL, whereas the Patriots fall to 10th place. This doesn’t necessarily translate to a full 4.5-point spread, but on this grand stage, I believe the Seahawks’ defense will bring its A-game. — Walder
Passing props
2:05
Troy Aikman praises Sam Darnold ahead of Super Bowl LX
Troy Aikman discusses his admiration for Sam Darnold and his accomplishments.
If you’re following the passing game …
Drake Maye 36+ pass attempts (+289): It’s no secret that the Patriots’ strength lies in their passing attack. They ranked second in pass rate over expectations this season (according to NFL Next Gen Stats), which sets up two paths for this bet to succeed. The Patriots could opt for a highly pass-focused game plan, considering how well Maye has performed this season, or they could find themselves trailing and forced to throw frequently. Regardless, my attempt model suggests a fair price of +229 here. — Walder
Maye 20+ completions (-127): The Seahawks predominantly use a Cover 2 defense, executing it on a league-high 33.1% of opponent dropbacks. This coverage minimizes vertical routes but allows for easier completions underneath. Maye averaged 20.8 completions per game; he may need to throw more if New England falls behind in the latter part of the game. — Bowen
Maye 20+ completions (-127): This line has shifted quite a bit since I gave it last week, but I still believe in it. The Seahawks’ defense forces checkdowns more than any other unit in the NFL, and Maye will likely need to release the ball quickly to shield his offensive line from the Seahawks’ pressure. If the Patriots find themselves behind in the second half— as suggested by the 4.5-point line— we have the potential for garbage time to help exceed this relatively low total. I’m eyeing the alternative lines up to 25+. — Solak
Sam Darnold longest completion OVER 35.5 yards (-115): Darnold has surpassed this mark in 12 out of 19 games this season, bolstered by having one of the league’s top receivers in Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Darnold has exhibited increased aggressiveness down the field during the postseason, and Klint Kubiak is poised to design plays that signal vertical attacks, which should create opportunities for both Smith-Njigba and Rashid Shaheed. though the Patriots have effectively limited explosive plays, it’s challenging not to envision Darnold connecting with one of his receivers for a significant gain in this pivotal game. — Moody
If you’re against the passing game …
Maye UNDER 19.5 completions (+100): Maye averaged 19.8 completions over 20 games, managing no more than 17 in the playoffs. With a shoulder issue, multiple rookie starters on the offensive line, and facing a Seahawks defense that regularly applies pressure, Maye may struggle to post an efficient performance. — Loza
Darnold UNDER 230.5 passing yards (-111): This game doesn’t have the makings of a ceiling performance for Darnold. He may achieve efficiency without a high volume because New England is exceptional in coverage. The anticipated game flow limits attempts and yardage. — Maldonado
For additional insights into the QB matchup, refer to Matt Bowen’s analysis of how he foresees the game playing out for the quarterbacks.
Rushing props
If you’re supporting the run game …
Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 14.5 rushing attempts (-108): New England is fully committed to Stevenson, and even if the yards may not be glamorous, the volume will be significant since the Patriots aim to control the clock, shield Maye, and prevent overburdening him. This strategy dovetails with Stevenson receiving numerous touches early and often. — Maldonado
Kenneth Walker III OVER 72.5 rushing yards (-112): Walker has surpassed this line in three of his last five games. though he fell short against the Rams in the NFC Championship, he still faced a heavy workload with Zach Charbonnet sidelined due to an ACL injury. The Patriots’ run defense is competent, but not elite, making Walker— one of the most explosive backs in the league— a strong candidate for some big runs. — Moody
TreVeyon Henderson longest rush 10+ yards (+143): Henderson produced 18 runs of 10 or more yards over the regular season. He possesses the agility and vision to create explosive plays if the Patriots can effectively maneuver the edges in the run game. — Bowen
Henderson OVER 27.5 rushing + receiving yards (-109): This line has seen some movement since last week, but it remains playable. Henderson stands out as the dynamic runner who can create explosiveness, and while he saw limited usage in a recent matchup against the Broncos, he previously had a decent split of the RB snaps. I expect his role to return against Seattle, as the Patriots need someone to generate big plays, and Henderson fits that bill. Eight to ten touches should generate enough yardage to surpass this line. — Solak
George Holani OVER 10.5 rushing yards (-112): Holani may not be the fastest, but he displays patience and burst. As Seattle’s second-string running back with Charbonnet out (ACL), Holani recorded a 34% snap share in the conference championship game, accumulating 31 total yards on six touches. although averaging only 3.4 yards per carry throughout the season, his projected usage should push him over the given line. — Loza
If you’re against the run game …
Walker UNDER 32.5 first-half rushing yards (-115): The Seahawks generally prefer outside zone runs, utilizing this concept on 45% of their carries. Interestingly, this is an area where the Patriots excel defensively, having allowed just 3.5 yards per carry on outside zone plays (ranking fourth in the league). I’m targeting the first half with this bet as I’m concerned about the Seahawks potentially pulling away and Walker receiving enough carries to overcome inefficiency. — Walder
Receiving props
If you’re following the receiving game …
Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 94.5 receiving yards (-113): Smith-Njigba recorded 153 yards in the NFC Championship and averaged 105.5 receiving yards per game during the regular season. While the Patriots could implement more man coverage with Christian Gonzalez assigned to JSN, my confidence in the over remains. Smith-Njigba proved to be the most effective receiver I observed on film this year, excelling at all three levels, ensuring he’ll see substantial volume on Sunday. — Bowen
Mack Hollins longest reception OVER 16.5 receiving yards (-115): Hollins returned from injury for the AFC Championship and immediately caught a 31-yard pass, totaling a team-high 51 receiving yards for the game. While Seattle’s corners are likely to focus on Stefon Diggs and Kayshon Boutte, it creates an opportunity for Hollins to break free for a couple of long receptions. especially, 27% of his catches have gone for at least 17 yards. — Loza
Smith-Njigba OVER 6.5 receptions (-135): Expecting a short-passing, chain-moving game, JSN will likely operate in open space. Seemingly, he can deliver both explosive plays and high volume, possibly even accumulating numbers by halftime. whether or not the Seahawks opt for a conservative strategy, JSN remains the key safety outlet throughout the game. — Maldonado
Kayshon Boutte OVER 30.5 receiving yards (-113): While Seattle’s defense presents a challenge, this line seems low concerning Boutte’s potential. He has exceeded it in two of his last three contests and has seen at least four targets in each game. Among Patriots receivers, only Stefon Diggs has logged more routes and targets throughout the playoffs. — Moody
Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 3.5 receptions (+130): Over three years, running backs have recorded receptions on 17% of plays against (zone) Cover 2 schemes, more than any other defense. The correlation is understandable; running backs are more likely to catch balls against zone coverage since they can find gaps between zones. since the Seahawks play Cover 2 32% of the time, it’s likely Stevenson will capitalize on this trend. — Walder
If you’re against the receiving game …
Stefon Diggs UNDER 44.5 receiving yards (-109): As I delve deeper into this matchup, it becomes clear that Diggs may struggle to find significant opportunities. The Patriots will utilize him primarily as a third-down option, and against the top tackling secondary, he may find it challenging to gain separation from Devon Witherspoon in the slot. I’m considering placing negatively correlated Diggs parlays with under 44.5 yards and over 4.5 catches, anticipating a high-volume day where he’s used mainly for short conversions. — Solak
Anytime TD scorer
1:15
Stephen A.: Drake Maye’s mobility poses a challenge for the Seahawks
Stephen A. Smith believes the Seahawks should strategize around Drake Maye’s dual-threat capabilities.
Scoring a touchdown in the Super Bowl is a dream every player cherishes, even the linemen. While they may not feature here, let’s highlight our favorite players who could fulfill that childhood fantasy on Sunday.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (-110): This odds feel surprisingly low for a receiver likely to receive considerable volume. though there may be concerns regarding his usage in the red zone (with the Patriots having a poor goal-line run defense, potentially reducing the need for passing), Seahawks offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak has proven he can create clever schemes to get Smith-Njigba open inside the 20. He will have opportunities. — Solak
Rhamondre Stevenson (+140): though Stevenson has yet to cross the goal line in the postseason, touchdowns can indeed be unpredictable. The veteran has been significantly involved, tallying 58 touches thus far in the playoffs. He also was the sole running back to receive a carry inside the 5-yard line. While he faces a formidable opponent, with Seattle allowing just eight touchdowns to the position over 19 games, the volume he commands is essential, presents decent value, and suggests he’s due. — Loza
Stevenson (+140): Stevenson’s usage throughout the playoffs indicates he is the running back the Patriots lean on the most. though he hasn’t scored yet during New England’s playoff journey, he found the end zone in each of the Patriots’ last three regular season games. — Moody
Drake Maye (+285): We can trust Maye, along with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. Maye found the end zone on a designed quarterback carry in the AFC Championship and rushed for four touchdowns throughout the regular season. Whether it’s a QB draw, zone read, or quarterback counter, there’s ample opportunity for Maye to score, especially on a scramble. A prior price of +300 for this prop was favorable. — Bowen
Maye (+285): His rushing potential, combined with the upside of broken plays, lends value to betting on him. If New England finds success, he is the most likely candidate to capitalize on any scrambles. While Stevenson (+140) holds a safer profile, Maye’s odds provide superior risk-reward. — Maldonado
Kyle Williams (+1100): Williams ran routes on 26% of the Patriots’ dropbacks this season, a notable figure. Compared to similarly priced players like Eric Saubert (+1100, 13%) or Efton Chism III (5%), Williams stands out as a more significant target. His deep route capabilities mean even a single catch could present a touchdown opportunity. — Walder
For more insights, check out Mike Clay’s top predicted scorers for Super Bowl LX.
Parlays: 10-1 or shorter
Crafting an effective parlay starts with identifying outcomes that are at least loosely correlated. Below are six suggestions sorted by increasing risk.
TreVeyon Henderson 19+ rushing yards and Kayshon Boutte 25+ receiving yards (+196): The Patriots must establish an offensive rhythm through their rushing attempts, which includes effective plays at the edges. Henderson has rushed for at least 20 yards in four of the past five games, and he recorded 18 runs of 10 or more yards during the regular season. In conjunction, we bet on vertical targets for Boutte, particularly against man coverage, including in-breaking passes. Boutte surpassed the 60-yard threshold in two of the Patriots’ three playoff victories. — Bowen
Sam Darnold UNDER 0.5 INT and Maye OVER 0.5 INT (+212): I’ve been incorrect about Darnold throughout the year; I initially expressed doubt, but he proved me wrong early on. but, after his midseason decline, I’m wary once again. so, I see more chances for Maye to throw a pick if Darnold remains error-free—and vice versa. — Walder
Henderson OVER 18.5 rushing yards, OVER 3.5 receiving yards (+236): Rhamondre Stevenson has solidified his standing as New England’s primary back, making it counterproductive not to involve Henderson. As one of the most explosive athletes on the roster, he can impact the game both on the ground and in the air. Also, due to Seattle’s defensive pressure, more screen passes and quick touches for Henderson are expected. His speed can lead to big plays on limited carries, making this an attractive parlay. — Moody
Darnold OVER 230.5 passing yards, OVER 5.5 rushing yards, 2+ passing TDs (+375): Consider this a redemption stack. While Seattle’s defense has been stellar, Darnold has effectively managed the offense, exceeding 230 passing yards in 11 of 19 games, reaching at least 242 yards in six out of seven closely contested matches (with the current spread at 4.5). Darnold may not be recognized for his mobility, but he’s displayed improved rushing consistency, averaging 7.8 yards per game over his last seven outings. — Loza
AJ Barner anytime TD scorer, Barner UNDER 25.5 receiving yards (+800): I suspect Barner will primarily serve as a blocking back, given the Patriots’ increased blitz rates in recent weeks. Nevertheless, he remains a potent red zone target due to his considerable size, which allows him to partake in the Seahawks’ “tush push” formations, making him a candidate to score, even without registering a catch. This unique bet centers on a single player but could yield significant returns. — Solak
Darnold UNDER 230.5 passing yards, Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 14.5 rushing attempts, Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 6.5 receptions, Drake Maye alt line OVER 24.5 rushing yards (+950): The Patriots aim to slow the game pace, setting the stage for Stevenson to garner consistent carries. Maye’s significant rushing abilities will likely come into play as an escape route when pressure mounts. With a structured game plan, Seattle’s passing strategy should focus on short routes to maintain possession, allowing Smith-Njigba to gather catches underneath while staving off Darnold’s attempts. — Maldonado
Breakdowns: QB comparison | Offense/Defense | Top anytime TD scorers
Long shot parlays
High-risk bets can lead to high rewards, but those odds are long for valid reasons. Always gamble responsibly.
Sam Darnold 3+ TD passes and Rashid Shaheed anytime TD (+1100): Darnold threw three touchdown passes in the NFC Championship, and he’s achieved three or more scoring passes on three occasions throughout the regular season. To cash in, we’ll need him to make at least one explosive connection downfield, which incorporates Shaheed into the equation for an anytime TD. Remember, Kubiak is capable of positioning his quarterback into advantageous situations in the red zone. Plus, let’s not overlook Shaheed’s potential to score on kick returns. Let’s take a gamble with these odds at 11-1. — Bowen
Darnold passing yards 200-209 (+1100): I recognize that it’s technically not a parlay, but it still hinges on two conditions. An 11-1 long shot on a singular prop is attractive. The Patriots’ defense encourages shorter throws, and Seattle can still score without requiring a high passing volume, while Darnold can maintain efficiency within limits. If he attempts around 30 passes at moderate efficiency, he’ll land in the low 200s, thus validating these odds for an entirely plausible game script. — Maldonado
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 8+ receptions, 130+ receiving yards and 2+ TDs (+1100): Quarterbacks often monopolize Super Bowl MVP discussions, leaving a remarkable performance required for a wide receiver to garner the award. Smith-Njigba possesses this capability, leveraging his target volume, productivity, and chemistry with Darnold. The last receiver to take home Super Bowl MVP was Cooper Kupp five years ago, who had a similar performance consisting of eight receptions for 92 yards and two touchdowns. A similar outing from Smith-Njigba should put him squarely in the MVP conversation. — Moody
Patriots +4.5, Smith-Njigba UNDER 94.5 receiving yards, Rashid Shaheed OVER 22.5 receiving yards, George Holani OVER 11.5 receiving yards (+1100): Imagine if the Patriots could overshadow Smith-Njigba’s performance— albeit unlikely, but certainly plausible. If that occurs, it would benefit Shaheed, who is likely to attract one-on-one coverage and, as a result, has a shot of surpassing his line with one big gain. Meanwhile, I expect Holani, Seattle’s third-down back, to snag a few dump-off passes if Darnold has to pivot away from his top receiver. If Smith-Njigba has a down day, the Patriots will likely keep the contest tight. — Solak
Hunter Henry anytime TD, Kyle Williams 15+ receiving yards (+1400): Henry leads the Patriots in touchdown receptions, totaling eight throughout 20 games. He is expected to act as a reliable option over the middle against a Seahawks defense that surrendered six touchdowns to tight ends during the regular season. though Williams may not receive a large number of targets, a well-timed long ball could easily set up Henry for that touchdown, especially given the attention Diggs and Boutte will command. Williams recorded the offense’s longest reception (a 72-yarder) at Tampa Bay in Week 10. — Loza
Elijah Ponder 1+ sacks, Boutte 60+ receiving yards, Devon Witherspoon UNDER 5.5 tackles + assists (+4500): When constructing a long-shot parlay, I tend to include defensive props. Ponder is underrated, especially if Harold Landry III remains uncertain regarding his knee injury. If Landry is unable to participate or is only a partial contributor, Ponder is likely to benefit. Boutte has emerged as a primary deep threat, and if the first two conditions are met, it could spell trouble for the Seahawks, as Witherspoon typically registers fewer tackles in passing-heavy situations. — Walder
Head-to-head/combined player props
Why settle for a single player’s prop when you can pit them against or alongside another? Head-to-head props measure one player’s performance against another, while combined props provide an opportunity for both players to contribute to a successful outcome.
Sam Darnold and Drake Maye OVER 451.5 combined passing yards (-114): This number feels low and is on the rise, so it’s wise to act now. This season, Maye averaged 258.5 passing yards per game while Darnold checked in at 238.1, clearing this mark by over 40 yards. — Bowen
Jaxon Smith-Njigba -47.5 receiving yards vs. Stefon Diggs (-114): JSN garnered 11 more deep looks than Diggs this season, averaging 46 additional yards per game. Given his role in the offense and ability to gain yards post-catch, a disparity of 50 receiving yards between the two seems highly plausible. — Loza
Diggs and Smith-Njigba OVER 142.5 receiving yards (-113): Both Diggs and Smith-Njigba are integral to their respective offenses, especially in high-pressure passing situations. Smith-Njigba has averaged 103.4 receiving yards across the regular season and playoffs, thriving against the blitz-heavy schemes that define the Patriots’ defense. Conversely, Diggs is Drake Maye’s favored target in critical moments. With a narrow spread predicting a competitive matchup, both receivers should find enough opportunities to surpass the total line. — Moody
Kayshon Boutte (+101) ML receiving yards vs. Cooper Kupp: Boutte stands as the best big-play threat for the Patriots, while Kupp tends to create big plays off play-action as a secondary option. whether or not the Patriots succeed in diverting more targets away from Smith-Njigba to other Seahawks receivers, expect a greater role for Rashid Shaheed and AJ Barner rather than Kupp, who might not outrun speedy corner Marcus Jones. Boutte possesses the potential for impressive yardage due to his deep route capabilities. — Solak
Most Tackles + Assists H2H: Christian Elliss (+105) over Nick Emmanwori: If the game maintains competitive tension, Ellis will surely be around the ball perpetually. He consistently participates in tackle opportunities and caps off plays in coverage. Emmanwori may shine also, but his contribution hinges more on coverage situations. A closely fought matchup solidifies the underdog profile of the player with a clearer tackling potential. — Maldonado
AJ Barner +12.5 receiving yards vs. Hunter Henry (-112): This analysis relies on instinct and situational reasoning, suggesting that these two players might be closer than the odds imply. If the Patriots concentrate resources on neutralizing Smith-Njigba, it opens space for other receivers, making Barner a prime candidate for additional targets. While Henry tends to pull in deeper passes, that approach may play into the Seahawks’ short-pass strategy. — Walder
Specials/novelty bets
Here is a final installment of props that may not fit into standard categories but further augment previous analyses. It’s the Super Bowl; all bets are off!
OVER 2.5 players to attempt a pass (+175): Whether it be a reverse pass, toss pass, or double-pass, NFL teams engage in trick plays during practice all season. so, we must see coordinators Klint Kubiak or Josh McDaniels opting for such a play come Sunday. The timing could be particularly favorable following a sudden change in momentum (like a turnover) when offensive assault is expected. — Bowen
Rashid Shaheed to have either 50+ receiving yards or 20+ rushing yards (+300): As an explosive player with a versatile skill set, Shaheed is positioned to be the X-factor for the Seahawks. since Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kenneth Walker III are expected to attract the majority of defensive focus, Shaheed could surprise. He registered 27 rushing yards (on two carries) in the divisional round and 51 receiving yards (on one catch) in the conference championship. — Loza
Patriots +0.5 first quarter (-125): This takes advantage of the Patriots’ strength: early game scripting. New England ranks among the top three in first-quarter offense, while Seattle has been average when playing on the road. The combination of a slower pace, strong defensive performance, and strategic adjustments suggests a close first-quarter finish. — Maldonado
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Super Bowl LX MVP (+550): He is the epicenter of Seattle’s offensive strategy. Leading the league with 1,793 receiving yards during the regular season and reaching over 92 yards in 14 of 19 games overall, Smith-Njigba recently accumulated 10 receptions for 153 yards in the NFC Championship. Without a definitive No. 2 option, Darnold consistently turns to JSN in high-pressure moments. If Seattle triumphs and Smith-Njigba puts forth another stellar effort, he will be hard to overlook for MVP, an award historically given to wide receivers nine times (most recently Cooper Kupp in 2022). — Moody
Longest punt return OVER 18.5 total yards (-115): Patriots’ Marcus Jones and Seahawks’ Rashid Shaheed rank second and fifth in the league respectively in terms of average yards gained on punt returns. Including the postseason, Jones has recorded a return of at least 19 yards on five of 28 attempts, while Shaheed has achieved eight favorable returns on his 23 opportunities. With the line set at 7.5 punts, we anticipate enough chances for these two dynamic returners to surpass that mark. — Solak
Stefon Diggs fastest ball carry speed (Next Gen Stats) under 18.5 mph (-160): This has become one of my favorite bets for the Super Bowl. I’ve crafted a model focusing on maximum speed for this category— which isn’t typically available— in preparation for this game, revealing that Diggs’ under was an exceptionally favorable line. To ensure accuracy, I reviewed his performance; Diggs crossed this threshold only once this season, achieving 18.7 mph in Week 16. His actual carrying speed is influenced more by the context in which he possesses the ball than by his 40-time. Given Diggs’ relatively low air yards per target and limited deep route participation—only 25%— he is not likely to hit that 18.5 mph mark. — Walder
